2010 March Madness Office Pool

Presented by

Team Aguilar / Axia Real Estate Group, Inc

We are going to do our 2nd annual March Madness Office Pool. We have been doing an NFL pool for the last 3 years and it’s been a blast. Also, some of our contestants work for other companies we do business with and they are not allowed to accept the prize but we have donated the winnings to a charity of their choice. It’s been a lot of fun and a couple of the winners have donated their winnings to charity’s such as Best Friends.org, Oceanside Breakers and the Chelsea’s Light fund.

We have created a March Madness Office Pool for all to participate in. It’s similar to the NFL office pool. Prizes will be awarded to the top 3 players. Picks can be made all at once or 5 minutes prior to the start of each game.

PLEASE NOTE THAT IF YOU ARE NOT ALLOWED TO ACCEPT GIFTS BECAUSE OF YOUR EMPLOYER’S POLICY, WE WILL DONTATE YOUR WINNINGS TO THE CHARITY OF YOUR CHOICE.

First Game is March 18^th!!! It’s going to be fun!

Scoring System

1 point for each correct pick in Round 1
2 points for each correct pick in Round 2
3 points for each correct pick in Round 3
4 points for each correct pick in Round 4
5 points for each correct pick in Round 5
6 points for the correct Champion

1st Place $150, 2nd Place $100, 3rd $50, Gift Cards

LEGAL STUFF – THERE IS NO FEE TO PLAY, PLAYING IS 100% FREE. FOR SIGNUP INFORMATION, PLEASE POST A COMMENT WITH YOUR EMAIL ADDRESS AND I WILL FORWARD AN EMAIL TO SIGN UP.

Alex Aguilar
Team Aguilar
Real Estate Agent, Blogger!
Alex@TeamAguilar.com
www.TeamAguilar.com
Real Estate Blog

If your looking for real estate in San Diego, Riverside or Imperial County you have arrived at the right place. Please feel free to contact us and please read our Real Estate Blog and leave your comments.

I was going to write a post with information on the search efforts of Chelsea King but unfortunately it appears that our greatest fears were realized this afternoon when authorities identified a body found as Chelsea King. For those of you who don’t know, she is a Poway high school student who has been missing since last Thursday.

As I write this post I am really at a loss for words. I don’t have any children yet and still can’t even imagine how difficult this must be for the family.

There is a candlelight vigil at St. Michael Catholic Church for friends and family scheduled for tonight at 7 p.m.  It was planned previous to Chelsea’s body being found and it’s unclear if it will still take place.

I will post updated information as soon as it becomes available.  I would like to make a donation on behalf of one of our office football pool players. She asked that I donate her winnings to the family of Chelsea King. I am unaware of any fund at this point but as soon as I find something I will add it to this post and also make sure that we make the donation to the family on Chelsea’s behalf.

Here is a link to the Facebook page setup for Chelsea King.

UPDATE: 03-05-10

Chelsea’s family has set up the Chelsea’s Light Fund. People have asked about making donations and you can now make a donation to the Chelsea Light Fund at any Wells Fargo Bank. (Account #1838355913. Here is a link to the Facebook page for Chelsea’s Light Fund.

Alex Aguilar
Team Aguilar
Real Estate Agent, Blogger!
Alex@TeamAguilar.com
www.TeamAguilar.com
Real Estate Blog

If your looking for real estate in San Diego, Riverside or Imperial County you have arrived at the right place. Please feel free to contact us and please read our Real Estate Blog and leave your comments.

You may be asking yourself who Janet Yellen is? Well she is the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and she just happened to be in San Diego today to give a speech at the Burnham Moores Center for Real Estate University of San Diego 14th Annual Real Estate Conference.

I try to make it out to this event as often as possible. It’s usually a nice breakfast and for $30-40 bucks you get to hear from some of the financial big wigs we have in this county! Some of the talk can get a bit long and dry but I try to post a few of the points that stick out. Here are a few things from Janet Yellen as well as Real estate mogul billionaire Sam Zell who also gave his outlook on the future of real estate. He was fun and brought a bit of energy to the conference!

First, some of the questions that Janet Yellen commented on during her visit to San Diego. After her speech, she spent a few minutes answering some questions. Here was her take on several questions asked.

What is her take on the economy and what direction are wee headed in?

The finalcial system will, “take a long time to fully heal.” She expects economic growth of about 3.5% this year and 4.5% in 2011. “I’m afraid that the economy will continue to operate well below its potential throughout this year and next, even though the recession appears to be over, it does not mean that we are where we want to be.” She referred to the the economic growth being fairly postive but said it’s overshadowed by a poor unemployment rate of 9.7% which she felt would continue through the year and be reduced to 8% by 2011.

How does she feel about the future of interest rates and the possibility of raising rates?

“When the day comes to start raising rates again, we have tools at the ready, for the time being, the economy still needs the support of extraordinarily low rates.” Later she went on to state, “This is not the time to be tightening monetary policy, but eventually the economy will gain enough momentum and won’t need today’s extraordinarily low interest rates.”

The other interesting speech came from Sam Zell.

Some of this speech was a bit over the top but he made some interesting points especially if your an investor in commercial real estate. His opinion on commercial real estate currently underwater in mortgage balances is that, “If there are opportunities in distressed real estate, it’s in buying the debt in return for equity.” What he said makes a lot of sense. Commercial real estate allows you to be much more creative in a bad economy. You don’t have to wait around for a modification or short sale. Investors will go out and seek investments and search for property they can take a equity position in and work out their own deal.

As for the residential market? He noted that San Diego may be an area that would see a slower recovery. One interesting thing he noted is that whenever single family home owners exceeded 62%, we got into trouble. He noted that this time because of sub-prime loans that number rose to 69%. We are currently at 66% and he felt that we needed to get down to 63-64% before we have a sustainable, affordable single family market.

Alex Aguilar
Team Aguilar
Real Estate Agent, Blogger!
Alex@TeamAguilar.com
www.TeamAguilar.com
Real Estate Blog

If your looking for real estate in San Diego, Riverside or Imperial County you have arrived at the right place. Please feel free to contact us and please read our Real Estate Blog and leave your comments.

According to the National Association of Home Builders latest report, the home affordability rate is currently at 48.1% for San Diego County.

What does this mean? Home values are slowly increasing and we may be past the peak of affordability which appears to have peaked at 58.8% during the 1st quarter of 2008.

The NAHB housing opportunity index represents the percentage of homes sold that a median income household could afford using standard lender underwriting guidelines. A few years ago we never had to worry about this because anyone who could fog up a mirror could get a loan.

San Diego County has always been an expensive place to live and these numbers are nothing new but look at the chart below to see how much more affordable it is to live in many other parts of the country. You have to ask yourself, do I want to give up Sunny San Diego to live somewhere I could afford a home? Perhaps……..

See Wichita, KS on that list? Our field agent, Cory has a lot of family there and visits regularly but I think he prefers Sunny San Diego over Wichita.

MOST AFFORDABLE – Kokomo, IN is the most affordable place to live in the United States, 98% of all homes sold there are affordable to the medium household income. WOW, when you think about that it would be really nice if San Diego was a little higher on that list. No offense to anyone reading this from Kokomo In, but I have never been there or even heard of your nice affordable city.

LEAST AFFORDABLE – New York-White Plains-Wayne, NY-NJ is the least affordable. Only 19.7% of all homes sold there are affordable to the medium household income. WOW, now when you think about that it gets a bit scary. It’s nice San Diego is no where close to that.

DATA SOURCE, National Association of Home Builders

Alex Aguilar
Team Aguilar
Real Estate Agent, Blogger!
Alex@TeamAguilar.com
www.TeamAguilar.com
Real Estate Blog

If your looking for real estate in San Diego, Riverside or Imperial County you have arrived at the right place. Please feel free to contact us and please read our Real Estate Blog and leave your comments.

As more and more homeowners are going into default, it appears more and more are just walking away from their mortgage.

TEAM AGUILAR DISCLAIMER: Let me state that Team Aguilar or myself are not instructing anyone to walk away from their mortgage and ultimately the one that has to make that decision is you. VIEW THIS CALCULATOR AT YOUR OWN RISK!

There is a new calculator, may not be new to you but it’s new to me and I want to introduce it here. It may help people determine if it makes sense to walk away. The calculator is on the website, www.YouWalkAway.com, here is a LINK to the calculator.

Once you go through and start punching in the numbers it really gets you thinking. As an example I used a very typical scenario that seems very common here in San Diego.

I started by entering a home value of $300,000 with a 1st loan balance of $420,000 and a 2ND mortgage of $80,000. This is fairly common here in Southern California. Many people purchased a $500,000 home with 100% financing using an interest only loan that is NOW worth $300,000 in today’s market. After punching in all the numbers and using a rate of appreciation of 4% which I think is a very fair historical national average it would take approximately 16 years to get back to the break even point. The walk away monthly savings is approximately $700 a month along with a “Walk Away Cash Savings” of over $100,000.

What’s the bottom line? Well if you only planned on staying in your home for a few years to begin with, less then 10 it may make sense to walk away. If you know you are going to live in this home forever and be buried in the back yard then it’s likely that you will be just fine. It’s similar to your retirement account that are in the dumps right now with this market. If your close to retirement you may be in trouble but if you have time and years are on your side you will have to time to recover.

Voluntary defaults happen to be a brand new phenomenon in our society. With the recent collapse in housing, estimates show that as many as ten million families may currently be underwater on their mortgage.

UPDATE: So there seems to be some question about the You Walk Away organization. LET ME SAY that I know nothing about their services or service. I don’t know anything other then what I have read online on some different forums, blogs and message boards. I have no idea what value if any they can offer. I know that the mortgage calculator is unique and it may help you decide what to do. It’s fairly simple and you can create one of your own fairly easily. The bottom line is that you need to look at all of your options and decide what is best for you. Don’t rely on someone else or some organization to do this for you. You should take all the information you can gather, all the options available to you and decide what the best option is for YOU!

Also, a little rant and rave! Another issue really bothering me, LOAN MODIFICATION SCAMS. There are thousands of legal services offering loan modification services right now here in California and I am sure in many other states. The California state BAR is investigating hundreds of them right now. All of the services being offered by these companies are things that you can do on your own. It just requires a little bit of your time. Save your money, I can’t tell you how many times I talk to someone that forked over thousands of dollars just to have their home go to foreclosure with the modification company not doing one thing. I recently spoke with someone that contacted their lender just a few days before their foreclosure trustee’s sale only to find out that the lender had NO RECORD of the loan modification company ever contacting them.

Alex Aguilar
Team Aguilar
Real Estate Agent, Blogger!
Alex@TeamAguilar.com
www.TeamAguilar.com
Real Estate Blog

If your looking for real estate in San Diego, Riverside or Imperial County you have arrived at the right place. Please feel free to contact us and please read our Real Estate Blog and leave your comments.

When I heard that Mayor Jerry Sanders and Chargers President Dean Spanos were in serious talks about the possibility of a new stadium located in downtown San Diego, I was THRILLED by the prospect. No offense to the city of Escondido who have been courting the Chargers to move their team there for a quite few years now. It’s just that the Chargers are not Escondido or Chula Vista, and most certainly, not Los Angeles. They are San Diego!

For anyone who has been to Qualcomm Stadium, you fall in to one of two categories:  One type of person believes Qualcomm is an ill-designed cracking slab of concrete with narrow walkways and a cold, uninviting aura. The other type of person is one who has never been to another NFL Stadium to see just how big of a difference a nice stadium can be.  In fact, as far as I’m concerned, Qualcomm and Candlestick in San Francisco are on par with one another and both should be torn down. The Spanos know this and understand this, which is why they want to build a new stadium. But the fact that the city and its taxpayers don’t want to help pay for a new stadium, is the biggest hurdle the Chargers face.

Just because the taxpayers don’t want to help out however, does not mean they are not supportive of Mayor Sanders who is working with Dean Spanos to figure out where the money to build a new stadium can come from. According to Matthew T. Hall of the Union Tribune, one financing option that is being thrown around could come from “selling or developing the city-owned 166-acre Qualcomm Stadium site, which the team would leave vacant.” This is an option where the city can help out without a tax hike. It also brings to light the fact that Qualcomm’s site is HUGE and the proposed site downtown would be much smaller.

The downtown site would be 15 acres directly next to Petco Park that currently includes the city-owned Tailgate Park, the Wonderbread Building, and the bus yard for the San Diego Transit Corp. The beauty of this site, is that the infrastructure is all in place thanks to Petco Park. There’s parking, public transportation set up, and a slew of bars and restaurants in the area that make a killing on game days.  In addition, Hall reports that Charger’s special counsel Mark Fabiani says the downtown stadium makes financial sense “because infrastructure improvements to accommodate a stadium of up to $1 billion elsewhere could cost $200 million, but they are a fraction of that downtown”.

Of course there are naysayers who don’t want to see a stadium go up downtown. Business owners that would have to move, nearby residents who don’t want a huge construction project going on in their neighborhood or the influx of crowds that would be present on game-days.  But I am not going to address such people or such issues, for this is an unapologetically biased blog in favor of a downtown stadium.

Yes, there are hurdles to overcome before this dream can become a reality, mostly of the financial kind. But the city needs this. It needs something it can rally around. Something to be proud of besides the weather, and a beautiful new stadium in the city’s up and coming downtown is just what the doctor ordered.  And can you imagine how much money a Super Bowl hosted downtown would bring into the city?  But all the benefits of a new stadium are light years away. At this point it’s just good to see that San Diego is once again the front-runner for the new home of the San Diego Chargers.

Let’s face it: real estate has been hard this year and because of this, the 2009 Realtors Conference & Expo should be a must-visit, if you are a realtor in the United States of America. No time would be better than now to invest in networking and education for your personal business and you can do so this weekend in San Diego.

From November 13 to 16, the National Association of Realtors will hold the 2009 Realtors Conference & Expo in San Diego, so get ready for the latest upturn in the industry and think about taking part today. This year’s main sessions include:

- One hour with the commissioner of the Federal Housing Administration, David Stevens, who will talk about today’s primary issues such as appraisals, condominium rules, loan limits, and solutions for the insurance fund of the FHA.

- Testing your presence on-camera with the host of HGTV’s Real Estate Intervention, Sabrina Soto, through an interactively simulated home walk-through. Plus, she will share tactics that can be put to use in your personal marketing plan.
 
- A political and legislative forum by political insiders Bill Press and Michael Murphy, who will talk about the ever-evolving political landscape, as well as how this will impact the races of the House and Senate from their very own perspectives.

Plus, you’ll even get the chance to meet William Shatner on Saturday, November 14 from 1 to 4 p.m. If you happen to be a realtor who is also an avid fan of Boston Legal or Star Trek, you will not want to miss out on this opportunity to get his autograph or pose for a photo with him, would you?

Besides, San Diego in itself is worth the time to visit. If you miss the summer weather or simply need to take a break from everyday life, San Diego would be the perfect place to kick back and relax, with November being the city’s sunniest month of the year.

If you’re worried about shelling out too much cash and your budget is quite tight at the moment, here are some ways you can save money on your trip to the conference:

1. Opt for registrations that will fit your personal schedule and needs. Passes for the expo itself are $25, while passes for one whole day are going for $130 and passes for the entire conference are $330.

2. Room with somebody. (There are several low rates still available if you book now.)

3. Take the shuttle. To get to the Convention Center itself, there are complimentary shuttles from various hotels and you can even get a cheap airport shuttle from the National Association of Realtors.

San Diego meetings are always something worthwhile. Recently coined as the country’s top meetings and conventions destination, visitors enjoy exploring this urban playground. Not only will you be surrounded by fun and the sun, but there are tons of attractions that you will love in San Diego, as well. Trust me.

I would like to thank all of the Military men and woman who are serving and who have served our country. It’s hard for someone like me to understand the sacrifice they have made. I am a younger individual (29 years old) who has never had to live in an era with a draft. We have had the benefit of living our life without having to think about being drafted or going to war. It wasn’t very long ago when you may have been called upon and it was expected for you to go fight for your country.

I didn’t grow up in a Military family or have anyone in my immediate family who was an active Military member. I don’t know what it feels like to have a loved one deployed for 6-12 months at a time or know what it’s like to lose an immediate family member. I can’t imagine how difficult it must be.

I don’t think enough of our younger generation realizes the sacrifice our Military and Veterans have made to allow us the freedom to do many of the things we take for granite. Today is a day to thank all of our Military men and woman. I wish you all the best and can’t tell you how much we appreciate your service.

Everyone in my family and here at Team Aguilar would like to extend our thanks and appreciation for all that you have done.

According to Sign On San Diego’s Roger Showley, the Urban Land Institute released its “Emerging Trends in Real Estate 2010” report last week.  On the report’s 9-point scale, San Diego’s real estate market is predicted to improve to 5, a whopping one tenth of a point above 2009’s ranking. What does this mean? Not much really, but it does mean that things certainly are not getting worse.

As we all know, San Diego’s residential sector took an enormous hit dropping from a median home price of $517,500 in 2005, to a much more realistic $325,000. An now, with the residential market coming around, so too will other real estate sectors. Showley reports that Jonathan Miller, a consultant for PricewaterhouseCoopers, who wrote the “Emerging Trends” report said “San Diego is improving because its housing market, having declined earlier than markets in most places, has “stabilized” and is thus setting the stage for nonresidential properties to recover.” “Setting the stage” doesn’t mean nonresidential properties WILL recover in 2010, but I don’t think anyone is going to complain about a stabilizing market that brings with it the hope of once again having flourishing real estate market, even if it is still a ways off. 

What else did the reports say?

“For 2010, the market is a pure hold’ meaning investors should retain their properties and not rush to buy or sell.”

“Shopping center owners should ‘hang on for dear life’ as retailers struggle with falling sales and many vacate their premises.”

“Office-building landlords should expect a game of ‘tenant musical chairs’ as lessees seek the best deals.”

“Hotels can’t get any worse but will ‘lead the commercial real estate industry in recovery’ as the economy improves.”

As for San Diego, even a miniscule glint of improvement on the real estate front is a sign of hope. Jonathon Miller adds, “the point is San Diego, unlike some other markets, has taken a tough hit here, but it appears to be stabilizing, and that’s better than other markets around the country.”  It’s funny to think that just a few years ago “appreciation” was the word that was being used. Appreciation was expected and relied upon, and taken for granted. And now, with our heads in our hands and hopefully a little wiser, appreciation is a distant memory. Now, the word “Stabilizing” holds a similar connotation that “appreciation” once had.

Some may consider this good news, for others it doesn’t help their employment status. Either way, the unemployment number in San Diego County dropped to 10.2% in September from 10.6% in August.  In fact, it’s not just San Diego that’s registered a drop in unemployment rates – it’s the whole State of California with a 12.2% rating in September, decreasing from 12.3% in August.

Let’s try and see what this means.  First, there are some economists who warned that it’s not such a good idea to put too much stock in these figures because they were sourced from a government-conducted telephone survey of households, which is generally, a less accurate way of getting the information.  It’s more logical to rely on payroll numbers which are based on data coming from a broad sampling of employers.  Others believe, however, that a drop (even something this small) is still a good sign because at least, there’s minor movement in the right direction.  It is also very possible that this slight drop is an indication that massive layoffs are beginning to taper off and slow down. 

However, even if unemployment rates are going down, it doesn’t necessarily mean that new jobs will be easy to find.  Experts are even speculating that the slowdown in unemployment rates means that the once-jobless have now found part-time jobs or jobs that don’t involve payroll, like consulting jobs for instance.  Some may even have opted out of being part of the workforce for the meantime, in their frustration from trying to find a job.  Others may have decided to return to school or enrolled in training courses to boost their resumes once the job market picks up. 

The retail and services sectors are primarily two of the segments in the employment market where there are new jobs being offered.  Retailers are being positive about sales and intend on providing good service to their customers, hence the new hires.

What does this mean if you’re thinking of purchasing real estate? Real estate prices are often driven by unemployment rates. If we’ve reached the ceiling or close to it for unemployment then it is safe to say we are at the bottom or close to the bottom of the real estate market. Prices can only drop so much while unemployment rises. Once employment starts to stabilize, you will see the real estate market start to bounce back. It may not bounce back quickly but it will come back. Try to take advantage of the San Diego real estate market.